Monday 31 March 2014

28.0 Is Bali's Low Density, Low Rise Ruining Paradise?

When people hear of the Island of Bali, the immediate image is that of an exotic tropical paradise.  That is at least for those who have NOT been there recently.  Actually when I first visited the island over 20 years ago, the idealic paradise was already starting to disappear, but now days you really need to search hard! 
Typical Balinese village house surrounded by rice fields
Tanah Lot Temple
Having constantly watched the development as a bench mark for other projects I had been working on, I have been familiar with some of the development regulations.  I remember long ago the government implemented a height regulation of 4 storeys and no higher than a coconut tree.  This regulation was widely applauded by professionals who felt this would save paradise, but in isolation it has not, but in fact perhaps maybe blindly continuing to follow this has done more damage!? 
Firstly anyone who has read other postings in my blog, will know I am an advocate of urbanism, density, pedestrian orientation and mass transportation.  (see some of the posts as follows: 6.0 Urban vs Suburban why I appreciate Urban so much!,  25.0 Jakarta Mass Transit, Development Planning and Economics ) And all of these becasue they yeild a better quality of life that is more environmentally and financially sustainable.
Bali's height limitation has done well to keep the skyline low, but it has also led to development which is more of a sprawl.  Actually this statement may not be entirely correct, the sprawl is also a result also of land use planning or lack there of or most likely a combination of these as well as additional factors.  Economic factors are certainly a consideration in both how much development is financially sustainable and how to distribute this development density to be fair to land owners?  For now, I will not get into this part of the equation, but lets focus on the issue of height limit and how it has potentially impacted the paradise of Bali?
The one thing you notice about the development of Bali from the Airport through Kuta, Legian, Seminyak and as it expands further is that the development seems to go on forever!  The spread makes it very difficult to attract sufficient pedestrian traffic along the whole stretch of roads and the limited density and accessibility add to the problem.  Further more because of this it has no identifiable center or focal point. This is because of lack of hierarcy in planning but also in 3 dimension of the building massing.
Kuta, Legian, Seminyak retail extends forever.

The stretch of roads with hotels and tourist shops seem endless.  The roads are too congested with traffice during peak hours and parked cars and mortor cycles further add to the congestion since no areas are designated for public parking.  The sidewalks are too narrow and always filled with obstacles mostly parked mortor bikes.  To get from one end to the other will take an extremely long time to walk and not in a suitable pedestrian oriented environment. 
The question here to ask is how could density and height limit possibly saved paradise? 

Going back to some of the most fundamental planning principles we learn in Planning 101, lets take a look at a series of diagrams below.  Assume the yellow gridded area in the larger black rectangle is so called Paradise which includes, natural and cultural heritage, it could be forest, rice paddys, rivers, traditional villages, temples, etc. 

Now lets assume we want to bring in hotels and retail and all the activities tourists will like to enjoy.  Assume we have a target amount of hotels and supporting retail to accommodate then here are the options of how we may distribute these developments over the Paradise.  This Paradise represented by the black rectangle with the yellow gridded area inside can be any scale, that of the island or just a small district.  The red  represents development within the paradise.


D1 - even distribution of development

D2 - development on one edge
D1 show the development spread rather uniformly over the Paradise. D2 represents the development concentrated on one edge leaving most of paradise undeveloped.  D3 represents development of double the height of D2 hence the development footprint is reduced by half. 

D3 - development on one edge and doubled in height so reduced footprint

From these diagrams it is clear that D3 can limit the development "footprint impact" on Paradise.  The other factor is visual impact which the height limit was always intended to control and by going to diagram D3 is doubled, but depending on the topography the doubling of the height may or may not have significant impact and from 4 to 8 storeys the impact will only be for a limited surrounding distance. 



One further possiblity is of course a combined approach as shown in D4 where double height is concentrated in one area and a limited number of lower developments are spread into the rest of Paradise. 

Pesonally this option for me would yield the best of density and diversity with limited impact.  
  
D4 - development on one edge and conecntrated double original height with additonal sparse development added

In summary allowing higher development may in fact be one step in the right direction to saving paradise, but it CANNOT BE EXECUTED IN ISOLATION.  Below are a number of issues that also need to be addressed.

1. Carrying Capacity - Define what is the optimum carrying capacity of Bali for development this should be worked by number of hotel rooms / apartments, visitors, related tourims facilities, population to support and facilites to support the population.  Economic is vital in determining carrying capacity.

2. Natural Resource Evaluation - One primary factor is available natural resources, the primary one being available water and population it can support both permanent and tourists.  In additon evaluate natural resources to identify what and where is to be excluded for development to maintain "paradise"

3. Land for Development - Identify how much of the land is suitable to develop without ruining "paradise".

4. Density and Height Limits - Based on the land for development and the carrying capacity desired, then derive the development density including the associated height limits.

All of the above are the basic criteria to properly master plan the development of the Island and the first order of business is to determine the limits of each and then based on this at some point one or a combination of them will be determinating factor to the extend of development allowed and where in order not to destroy paradise.  Lets look at how each criteria may become the overriding determining factor.

1. Carrying Capacity - lets say we fix a certain number of hotels or population, then this will force the density and if land is limited by restriction then only option is to go up.

 2. Natural Resource Evaluation - lets say value 90% of the land due to natural beauty and perservation of wildlife as well as fresh water.  What ever density we decide will determine the height to fit into a limited area.

3. Land for Development - As directly related to  number 2 above and land left over after conservation is for development and carrying capacity determined in 1 above with then determine the development height limit.

4. Density and Height Limits - If this is set and then to keep a fixed carrying capacity then the land for development will have to increase which is probably the case of Bali at the moment.  The other option if the aesthetic consideration of low rise development is important and the height is limited as well as the land for development to keep paradise, then the carrying capacity will be limited which directly impacts the economy which could be good or bad.

Lower carrying capacity may not necessarily be bad, it in fact may benefit all as the limited development should have better occupancy due to a "better paradise" and limited competition and hence better revenue, which should result in better land prices and better wages if the trickle down effect works. 


Rice Terraces near Ubud

In conclusion, Paradise can only be save by proper comprehensive urban planning which takes into consideration all the 4 key factors above and more. 

 Jiwa Studio, Singapore 
March 2014

 Links to the series:
Master Planned Beach Resort Destination Checklist
Part 1 – Overview
Part 2 – Natural Environment

Part 3 – Access / Proximity
Part 4 – Development Products
Part 6 – Destination Management

Links to the series:
Integrated Master Planning for Destination Development
Part 3 – Market Analysis
Part 4 – Product Development
Part 5 -  Physical Planning / Design
Part 6 -  Cost Plan
Part 7 -  Business Master Plan
Part 8 -  Site Execution
Part 9 – Operations Management
Part 10 - Review and Revise


9 comments:

  1. From Linkedin: Indian Urban Design & Planning Professionals

    I generally agree with you here Bertram. The height restriction is one of these 'well intentioned policies' that does work up to a certain point. From my recollection much of Bali was single/2 storey and there may be an optimum height that could try to contain sprawl. It would be an awful shame if places like Ubud became high rise though. Indeed high rise (over 6 storeys) would be a disaster so perhaps a limit should be set for that. Failing that...import higher palm trees like they did in Thailand!

    By Andy Graham@ The Urban Glow


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    Replies
    1. Andy

      I agree, I too hope Ubud never gets to High Rise or even above the 2 storeys it should stay at. The area like Kuta could well be taller and hence free up more ground space to increase pedestrian areas, add proper parking and to just keep it more compact and not so spread out. Of course to do all these now there will be so many political issues! I guess thats why front end integrated planning is so important!

      Delete
  2. I think Ubud's already gone high-rise. Some of the posts on this page show Ubud condotel and hotel projects that are maximum height, and very dense. https://www.facebook.com/balitoomuch

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    Replies
    1. Macan Tidur
      Thanks for sharing the link to our Blog site and recent views on Bali. I can appreicate the intent of the FB site you mention above, posing the question, Bali: "How Much is Too Much" This is directly related to my post about critical factors to determine the appropriate carrying capacity of Bali and how to distribute that capacity, horizontally or vertically and in what combination. By the number of viewer of the site, I can see lots of people share the same gut feel...

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  3. Thanks Bertram for a stimulating topic: which applies to all sites of special value. You would have fitted well in our UNDP team of 1992-3, for Comprehensive Bali Tourism Development Plan. Lead planner in the team was Prof Gus Hooke, who recognised the attraction to foreign visitors and potentially millions of Javanese job-seekers etc, argued the case for restricting demand 'for Bali'. We recommended to our Client Govt of Bali that the Bali owners should cooperate to lift the market from the [then] $50 per day spending to $200 [then], with actions in style, facilities, services, rental contracts, userpays [eg, water for golf courses] etc etc . Client liked the strategy. But Big Interests from GOI and investors , and the low income demographic especially from Java, scuttled the strategy. Probably Aussie backpacker sponsors had a voice, too. However, if one cannot manage the demand, then one cannot avoid the erosion /overwhelming of the intrinsic values [see Phu Quoc now; Port Douglas in Australia, Angkor Wat...] I wrote a paper from that 1993 experience: "Bali, the Sacred and Profane"... I will seek out a copy and send to any / all.

    By Don Townsend
    (from Linkedin ADB Concultants discussion group)

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    Replies
    1. Don, I would have loved to be part of that group! I have participated in a similar type of study for a PATA Task Force for TAT making recommendations for Koh Chang, in additon have made presentations on development for the World Bank/USAID on Halong Bay and the local government for Dapheng Peninsula, Shenzhen.

      You are completely right that this topic / methodology applies to all sites not just of value, but in order to create value! In most of the developer work that is done it is usually driven by purely economics of maximizing returns. Hence it is important for the governmets to set the larger strategic limits of development (ie limit of locations for development and potential carrying capacity/density), this will in fact have direct impact on land values. And as my post has identified limited development area, but denser development is most often a better solution which also goes in line with most developer thinking.

      I would like to read your paper on the 1993 experience in Bali. In addition I would like find out more about your knowlegde of Phu Quoc, if you don't mind I would like like to email you separately on this. Thanks for your feedback

      Bertram Wong
      Jiwa Studio

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    2. Thanks Bertram, for more grist for the topic. I will respond in detail next time. For now.. my observation is that 95% of professionals strive to create value [in all sectors]... and that about 80% of investors seek to extract value. [especially shareholders who trawl the waters for values which other competing shareholders have not seen/exploited.] Sadly, the regulators and politicians - and the bankers! - align with the extractors, in most cases. I see it now in Melbourne; and in Koh Kong of Cambodia, and the islands of south Myanmar. My only suggestion...? professionals to ally with local owners and stakeholders; at the risk of being marginalised in their commercial operations! Therefore, oldies like me, almost out of the market, must stand and talk, to encourage the younger professionals...

      By Don Townsend
      (from Linkedin ADB Concultants discussion group)

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    3. Don
      I think unfortunately it is the govenments that need to balance the alignment of communities and investors. Unfortunately when governments do not have long staying power, transparency or accountability it doesn't work. I think it is only public policy implemented by governemnts that can properly put limitations on "value extraction at the expense of the community".

      Bertram Wong
      Jiwa Studio

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    4. Thanks Bertram for targeting 'the issue'. Who makes public policy? Where legal, tech, professional, ethical, regulatory institutions are weak, elites inevitably collude in 'public policy' establishment and application. [In Melbourne City Council elections 2014, one property investment group contributed campaign funds to 10 of 12 councillors, each of whom was expecting/lobbying to be on the MCC Planning Committee]. In modern Phnom Penh, the city planning has been dominated by elites' deals on land swaps and questionable titles from the years of disorder etc. My 'solution' is for the society [supported well by big Donors] to invest much more in technical and professional bodies and chartered institutes; the conundrum is how to enable these to be [relatively] free from elite patronage and coercion? Any suggestions?

      By Don Townsend
      (from Linkedin ADB Concultants discussion group)

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